CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 06L (Florence)…is located 1135 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
Tropical Cyclone 07L (Gordon)…is located 330 miles east-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River
Tropical Storm Florence…is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph. A slightly slower west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight, but some weakening is forecast on Tuesday and Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center.
Tropical Storm 07L (Gordon) is moving across Gulf of Mexico…towards the Gulf coast
According to the NHC…Gordon is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph. A west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Tuesday, and will approach the north-central Gulf Coast within the warning area late Tuesday afternoon or evening, and move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and Gordon is forecast to be a hurricane when it makes landfall along the north-central Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is expected after Gordon moves inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND –
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide… Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama…3 to 5 ft. Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay…2 to 4 ft. Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River…2 to 4 ft. Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border…1 to 2 ft. The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce additional rain accumulations around 1 inch, with isolated heavier amounts through Tuesday over the northwestern Bahamas and south Florida. Isolated maximum storm-total amounts of 7 inches are possible. Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi, southeastern and northeastern Louisiana, and southeast Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through late Thursday. This rainfall may cause flash flooding.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin Tuesday afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane conditions expected by Tuesday evening in the hurricane warning area.
Tropical Cyclone 06L (Florence)
Gulf of Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 07L (Gordon)
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