CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 06L (Florence)…is located 1295 miles east-southeast of Bermuda
Tropical Cyclone 07L (Gordon)…is located 5 miles west of Jackson, Mississippi – Last Advisory
Hurricane Florence has become a Major Category 4 storm…the first of the 2018 hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean
According to the NHC…Florence is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue through Thursday. A turn toward the west-northwest with a decrease in forward speed is forecast to begin Thursday night, followed by a turn back toward the northwest early next week.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 130 mph with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, but Florence is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through early next week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles.
Tropical Depression 07L (Gordon) has moved inland from the Gulf of Mexico
According to the NHC…The depression is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph. A northwestward motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move across the lower Mississippi Valley today and tonight. A turn toward the north-northwest and north is forecast to occur on Friday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as Gordon moves farther inland. Jackson, Mississippi, recently reported a wind gust of 35 mph.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND –
RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama, central Mississippi, Arkansas, Missouri, southern Iowa and Illinois, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through early Saturday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding across portions of these areas.
WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force could occur in showers and thunderstorms associated with Gordon today.
TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible through this evening over Mississippi and western Alabama.
STORM SURGE: Water levels along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast will gradually subside later today.
Meanwhile, there’s a tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic…being referred to as Invest 92L
Here’s what the computer models show
According to the NHC, shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure centered a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is gradually becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent
>>> Finally, there’s a second tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic
According to the NHC, a tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days. Some development of the system is possible over the weekend while the wave moves westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent
Tropical Cyclone 06L (Florence)
Gulf of Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 07L (Gordon)
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