There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
However, there is an area of disturbed weather in the southern Caribbean being referred to as Invest 90L…which could become a heavy precipitation threat for Central America
This tropical disturbance may develop into a tropical depression by early next week as it remains more or less in the same general area.
The disturbance has become less organized than 24 hours ago, with associated thunderstorm activity now rather sparse, although sea surface temperatures remain very warm, running near 85F degrees.
Steering currents are weak in the region, and 90L isn’t expected to move much over the next 5-days. Heavy rains over Panama, Costa Rica and Nicaragua continue to be the major concern from 90L, with flooding and landslides a definite possibility.
If this disturbance were to become a tropical cyclone next week, it could eventually take on the name Otto.
This disturbance has a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours
1.) Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad low pressure area. Upper-level winds have become less conducive, and during the next couple of days any development should be slow to occur. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the low moves slowly and erratically.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent
Gulf of Mexico
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