Tropical Cyclone (14L) Matthew is now active…located about 25 miles southwest of St. Lucia
Tropical Storm 14L (Matthew) is now active in the Lesser Antilles Islands
TS 14L is moving towards the west at near 20 mph.
The center of the storm will pass through the Lesser Antilles Islands this afternoon, with the storm’s strongest winds and heaviest rains of 4-8 inches affecting the islands just north of the center, including St. Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, and Guadaloupe.
The storm will continue westwards on Thursday, and make its closest approach to the Netherlands Antilles of Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao Thursday night and Friday morning. These islands will be on the weaker side of the storm, and likely won’t receive tropical storm winds, though rains of 1-2 inches can be expected.
Residents of Jamaica, Haiti, and eastern Cuba should anticipate the possibility of a hurricane affecting that area early next week
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), surface observations and data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the tropical wave passing through the Windward Islands has acquired a closed circulation. As a result, advisories are being initiated on a 50 knot tropical storm.
The current lack of inner core structure suggests that further strengthening should be limited today, but environmental conditions consisting of warm water and low wind shear ahead of Matthew, favor intensification throughout the remainder of the forecast period.
Matthew should move westward across the eastern Caribbean during the next few days. After that time, the tropical cyclone will take a northwestward turn, although there are significant differences among the track models as to when the turn takes place and how sharp it will be.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Guadeloupe and Martinique
* St. Lucia
* Dominica, Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadine Islands
Interests in Bonaire, Curacao, Aruba, and elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Matthew.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread over the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands witin the next few hours and continue into this evening.
RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
Tropical Cyclone 14L (Matthew)