Tropical Depression 10L (Ida) remains active in the Atlantic Ocean…and is located approximately 1205 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands
Tropical Depression 10L (Ida) remains active in the Atlantic Ocean…and will slowly weaken over the open ocean
This tropical depression is located about 1205 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands…moving north at 5 mph.
According to the NHC, the cloud pattern is similar to 24 hours ago, and still consists of a tight swirl of low clouds with a curved convective band to the east of the center.
The overall circulation, however, appears to be decaying. The initial intensity has been lowered to 25 knots, and given the strong wind shear and dry air affecting the tropical cyclone, weakening is forecast.
The depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low in about 36 hours or sooner.
The swirl defining the center has been moving northward at about 4 knots.
A high pressure system is forecast to develop over the North Atlantic, and this high will force the shallow depression, or its remnants, to move toward the northwest during the next day or two. A sharp turn to the west or southwest is expected on Sunday, and by then the system could have opened into a trough.
Maximum surface winds at the NHC advisory #25 was 25 knots…with gusts to 35 knots
>>> There continues to be an area of disturbed weather, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea…stretching into Central America. This land interaction, as it moves across the Yucatan Peninsula will limit development at this time.
Later this weekend into early next week, this disturbance may move over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. However, even then, conditions won’t be that ripe for development.
According to forecast models, the central Gulf Coast of the United States may receive heavy rains after the weekend into the middle of next week…as this area moves north across the Gulf of Mexico.
Here’s a satellite image of this area
This area has not been given an investigation number, and the NHC is giving it a 0% chance of development over the next 2-days…which becomes a low 20% over the next 5-day period.
Tropical Cyclone 10L (Ida)
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
1.) A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and portions of Central America. Development is not expected during the next couple of days while this system moves northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula. A surface low could form once the disturbance reaches the southern Gulf of Mexico in a few days, but environmental conditions are not particularly favorable for significant development early next week while the system moves northward over the Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico