Tropical Storm 08L (Henri) remains active in the Atlantic Ocean…and is located approximately 260 miles east-southeast of Bermuda
Tropical Storm 08L (Henri) remains active in the Atlantic…passing well offshore from Bermuda
This tropical storm is located about 235 miles east of Bermuda…moving north at 9 mph.
According to the NHC, the cloud pattern of TS Henri remains disorganized, with most of the convection sheared off to the east and northeast of the center.
Visible satellite images also indicate that the system has little organization in the central core, with multiple smaller vortices rotating around a mean center.
The initial wind speed remains 35 knots, although some estimates suggest it could have weakened to a tropical depression. Southwesterly wind shear and dry air is currently limiting the amount of deep convection near the center of the storm.
Global models, however, all weaken the wind shear later today.
Henri is expected to have crossed over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream into cold waters of 63F, which should cause a rapid transition to an extratropical storm. Henri will pass close to southeast Newfoundland, Canada early this weekend.
Henri is still forecast to lose tropical characteristics in a little over 2 days, and then weaken while it moves over very cold water with high wind shear. The intensity guidance is in relatively good agreement on this scenario, and the NHC forecast is very close to the previous one.
Satellite fixes indicate that Henri is moving northward at about 8 knots. The storm should accelerate northward today and northeastward tomorrow as it encounters faster steering from the subtropical ridge.
After that time, an even faster northeastward and then eastward motion is predicted when the system becomes embedded in the mid-latitude prevailing westerlies. There have been no significant changes to the guidance, and the NHC track forecast is basically just an update of the previous prediction.
Maximum surface winds at the NHC advisory #7 was 40 mph sustained winds
>>> Meanwhile, a tropical wave will soon move off the west coast of Africa, and has the potential to develop into what would be tropical depression 09L early next week…as it moves westwards across the Atlantic at about 15 mph.
NHC is giving this area under investigation a 2-day and 5-day odds of development at a low 0% and 20%, respectively. This area of disturbed weather looks less likely to affect the Lesser Antilles Islands…than did the tropical waves that generated former tropical cyclones Grace, Erika, and Danny.
Tropical Cyclone 08L (Henri)
1.) A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa later today. Some slow development of this wave is possible during the next several days while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico