Tropical Storm 06L (Fred) remains active in the Atlantic Ocean…and is located approximately 525 miles west-northwest of the Cape Verde Islands
Tropical storm 06L (Fred) continues to weaken as it moves away from the Cape Verde Islands…soon to be a post-tropical cyclone
Here’s a near real time wind profile of the Cape Verde Islands area – this was the track that Fred took as it moved through Cape Verde Islands recently…as well as a NASA satellite image when it was moving through that area.
This tropical storm is located about 525 miles west-northwest of the Cape Verde Islands…moving west-northwestward at 10 mph.
According to the NHC, TS Fred has been without deep convection for about 12 hours and consists of a tight swirl of low- to mid-level clouds. The circulation remains fairly strong and the initial wind speed is maintained at 40 knots.
If organized deep convection does not return very soon, which appears unlikely, Fred will become a post-tropical cyclone this afternoon.
Strong westerly wind shear, marginal sea surface temperatures, and dry mid-level air should cause the circulation to gradually spin down during the next few days.
Very late in the forecast period, the remnant low could be over a slightly warmer sea surface, and in an area of lower wind shear. Redevelopment appears unlikely, however, due to a dry and stable air mass over the east-central Atlantic.
Fred is moving west-northwestward at about 9 knots. The forecast calls for the tropical cyclone to continue on a west-northwestward heading over the next 72 hours, to the south of a low- to mid-level ridge over the eastern Atlantic.
After that time, the remnant low is predicted to turn turn northwestward, and then north-northwestward while it moves around the western periphery of a low-level high pressure area centered south of the Azores.
Maximum surface winds at the NHC advisory #15 was 45 mph sustained winds
Tropical Cyclone 06L (Fred)
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico