Tropical Storm 06L (Fred) remains active in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean…and is located approximately 255 miles northwest of the Cape Verde Islands
Tropical storm 06L (Fred) is weakening as it moves away from the Cape Verde Islands
Here’s a near real time wind profile of the Cape Verde Islands area
This tropical storm is located about 255 miles northwest of the Cape Verde Islands…moving west-northwestward at 10 mph.
According to the NHC, Fred continues to quickly weaken this morning as the associated deep convection near the center has decreased in coverage and become less organized.
The center has also become exposed to the south of the remaining shower and thunderstorm activity.
Additional weakening is predicted during the next few days while Fred moves into a more hostile environment of increasing southwesterly wind shear, mid-level dry air, and marginal sea surface temperatures.
The tropical cyclone is expected to weaken to a tropical depression in 36 to 48 hours, and become a remnant low in 2 to 3 days, but this could occur sooner.
Fred is moving west-northwestward or 300 degrees at 9 knots. The tropical cyclone is expected to be steered west-northwestward to the south of a deep-layer ridge of high pressure over the eastern Atlantic during the next couple of days.
The remnant low associated with Fred will turn northwestward late in the forecast period. The models that keep Fred stronger, show the northwestward turn occurring much sooner than the NHC forecast. The NHC track takes a weaker Fred more westward before turning it northwestward late in the forecast period.
Rainfall will be diminishing across the extreme northwestern Cape Verde Islands this afternoon as Fred continues to move away from the area.
According to the official Atlantic tropical cyclone record, which begins in 1851, Fred was the first hurricane to pass through the Cape Verde Islands since 1892.
Tropical Cyclone 06L (Fred)
1.) A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa on Thursday several hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for gradual development of this system through the weekend while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico