Hurricane 06L (Fred) is now active in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean…and is located approximately 55 miles west-northwest of Rabil in the Cape Verde Islands
Tropical cyclone 06L (Fred) bringing strong winds and heavy rains across the north and northwestern Cape Verde Islands
Here’s a near real time wind profile of the Cape Verde Islands
This hurricane is located about 55 miles west-northwest of Rabil in the Cape Verde Islands…moving northwestward at 12 mph.
According to the NHC, visible satellite pictures and earlier microwave data indicate that Fred has a well-defined inner core. The outer banding that was noted yesterday is no longer evident, and the hurricane is quite compact. A well-defined eye was evident in microwave overpasses.
Satellite data suggest that the eye of Fred passed just southwest of Boa Vista Island in the Cape Verde Islands, however the northeastern eyewall likely moved over a portion of that island this morning.
The sea surface temperatures along the path of Fred are beginning to decrease, however, the vertical wind shear is expected to remain quite low for another 12 hours or so. Little change in strength is expected today.
By Tuesday, Fred will be over over sea surface temperatures of about 79F, and southwesterly wind shear is forecast to increase. This should cause gradual weakening, and a further increase in shear and a drier, more stable air mass should cause a faster rate of decay after 36 hours.
The tropical cyclone is now forecast to become a tropical depression in about 4 days, and degenerate to a remnant low by the end of the forecast period.
Fred continues to move northwestward at about 10 knots. The hurricane should maintain a northwestward heading during the next 12 to 24 hours. During this time, the center of Fred is expected to pass over or very close to the northwestern Cape Verde Islands of Sao Nicolou, Santa Luzuia, Sao Vicente, and Sao Antao.
On Tuesday, a west-northwestward turn is predicted as a mid-level ridge builds to the north of the cyclone. Fred should then maintain a west-northwestward heading during the remainder of the forecast period.
According to the official Atlantic tropical cyclone record, which begins in 1851, Fred is the first hurricane to pass through the Cape Verde Islands since 1892.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading across the northern Cape Verde Islands today. Hurricane conditions are occurring over portions of the northeastern Cape Verde Islands and are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the northern and northwestern Cape Verde Islands through tonight.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.
STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.
RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. These rains could produce life- threatening flash flooding and mudslides
Tropical Cyclone 06L (Fred)
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico