Former Tropical Cyclone 04L (Danny) is dissipating over the Caribbean Islands…and is located approximately 45 miles west-southwest of Guadeloupe – Final Advisory
Former tropical cyclone 04L (Danny) is dissipating and has turned into a trough of low pressure…although is bringing rainfall over the Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic through Tuesday night
This area is located about 45 miles west-southwest of Guadeloupe…moving westward at about 12 mph.
According to the NHC, although an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft found a few light westerly winds, they were neither strong nor extensive enough to support the existence of a well-defined circulation.
In addition, surface synoptic data from the Lesser Antilles suggest that the system has degenerated into a trough.
The system also lacks sufficient organized deep convection to qualify as a tropical cyclone. Therefore, this is the last advisory on Danny.
The remnants of Danny should continue to move westward over the northeastern Caribbean, and global model guidance show the system losing its identity within 48 hours or less.
Maximum surface winds at the NHC advisory #25 was 30 mph winds
>>> Meanwhile, there’s an area of disturbed weather in the central Atlantic, circled in red above, which has a high chance of developing over the next 2-days
This area is located 1250 east of the southern Lesser Antilles Islands…which could become a tropical depression called 05L later today or tonight
This disturbance continues to have a high chance of developing over the next 5-day period.
>>> Finally, there’s another area of disturbed weather, circled in yellow above, which is close to the Cape Verde Islands.
This disturbance is not encountering favorable conditions for development, thus will have a low chance of development through the next 5-days.
It will however be able to bring inclement weather conditions to the Cape Verde Islands.
1.) Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located about 1250 miles east of the southern Lesser Antilles has continued to become better organized since yesterday. Satellite data also indicates that the low’s circulation is gradually becoming better defined. If current trends continue, a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight while the low moves westward at around 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent
2.) A tropical wave located near the Cape Verde Islands is accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive across the tropical Atlantic Ocean this week, and development of this system is unlikely while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible across portions of the Cape Verde Islands today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones
Former Tropical Cyclone 04L (Danny)
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico