Tropical Cyclone Activity Report - Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

By: PDC
August 10, 2012

Tropical cyclone Ernesto (5L) is dissipating over southern Mexico…located approximately 215 miles west-southwest of Vera Cruz, Mexico (dissipating tropical depression…sustained winds of 25 mph) – Final Advisory

Tropical cyclone 7L is active in the Atlantic Ocean…located approximately 775 miles east of the Windward Islands (Strengthening tropical depression…sustained winds of 35 mph)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation with dissipating tropical cyclone Ernesto with positiions and segment

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation with tropical depression 7L's positions and segments...and an area of disturbed weather (circled in orange) with a medium 50% chance of developing into a tropical depression within 48 hours

Tropical storm Ernesto (5L) is dissipating over southern Mexico, about 345 miles west-southwest of Vera Cruz. This tropical cyclone is weakening quickly, due to the interaction with the physical terrain features it is moving over. The storm has now been downgraded to a remnant low pressure system. Gusty winds and very heavy rainfall will accompany this dissipating storm along its path however.

Meanwhile, a new tropical cyclone called tropical depression 7L is spinning in the Atlantic. It will be upgraded to a tropical storm named Gordon soon. It is located over the open ocean, although is slowly headingtowards the Lesser Antilles Islands…and the eastern Caribbea Sea. The NHC is not forecasting this system to attain hurricane status.

Finally, a new area of disturbed weather is located in the far eastern Atlantic. It has a medium 50% chance of developing into a tropical depression with the next 48 hours.

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

Atlantic Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 7L

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image
Pacific Disaster Center’s Global Hazards Atlas

A SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF FLORENCE IS PRODUCING MINIMAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. REDEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED…AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…NEAR 0 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM…ACCOMPANIED BY A TROPICAL WAVE…IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND AFRICA. THE LOW IS PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS…AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE…50 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map