There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea…or the Gulf of Mexico
PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation
There’s an elongated trough of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche, circled in yellow above. It continues to support a surface trough of low pressure…which is generating cloudiness across much of the Gulf of Mexico today.
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), chances of this system developing into a tropical cyclone within the next two days remains low. However, locally heavy precipitation is possible for the southwest Gulf basin, as well as portions of southeast Mexico…including the Yucatan Peninsula.
This area of low pressure is expected to prevail through Friday…and is being referred to as Invest 90L.
Here’s an infrared satellite image of this area.
As we move into the upcoming weekend, environmental conditions may improve. At least part of this improvement will be due to the possible arrival of the remnants of tropical depression Boris, which may bring enough moisture and potential extra spin…to get this area going.
Despite these improved conditions however, none of the computer models are spinning this disturbance up into a tropical cyclone at the time of this writing. The NHC is giving this area a 20% chance of generation over the next 5 days…up from the current 10% low chance at the moment.
Here’s the sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico, from NOAA as of June 1st…although they haven’t changed much since then.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map
Atlantic Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones
NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic
Caribbean Sea
There are no active tropical cyclones
WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
There are no active tropical cyclones
A stationary trough of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Strong
upper-level winds will likely inhibit significant development of
this system. However, this disturbance has the potential to
produce locally heavy rains during the next few days over
portions of southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent