Tropical storm 09L (Humberto) remains active in the eastern Atlantic…located about 765 miles northwest of the Cape Verde Islands (Sustained winds of 65 mph)
Tropical depression 07L (Gabrielle) remains active in the western Atlantic…located about 245 miles southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts (Sustained winds of 35 mph)
Tropical storm 10L (Ingrid) is now active in the southwest Gulf of Mexico…located about 60 miles east-northeast of Veracruz, Mexico (Sustained winds of 45 mph)
Tropical storm Humberto remains active in the eastern Atlantic, and continues to wind down in strength…with winds now at 65 mph. This wind speed takes Humberto from a category 1 hurricane, down to tropical storm. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), Humberto continues moving under an area wind shear. This shear, along with cooler sea surface temperatures ahead, will continue taking its toll on this storm…at least over the next couple of days.
The NHC is forecasting a second increase in strength by the 72 hour mark. As a matter of fact, TS Humberto may be able to regroup enough…that it could reach hurricane strength for a second time within 120 hours! This will occur as the vertical wind shear diminishes aloft, and at the same time, this system will once again move over warmer sea surface temperatures.
Tropical depression Gabrielle has now dropped down from a tropical storm…back into a weaker depression status. Eastern Canada is expecting winds and rain from Gabrielle, as it transfers its energy to a cold front. The Canadian Hurricane Center of Environment Canada, has issued a Tropical cyclone information statement for Newfoundland, Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island.
At 1500 UTC, Tropical Depression Gabrielle had maximum sustained winds near 35 mph. She was centered about 245 miles southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts…and 410 miles south-southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia. TD Gabrielle is moving to the north-northeast near a quick paced 23 mph, and expected to continue moving north-northeast while speeding up even further later today
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) expects Gabrielle’s circulation to dissipate as it approaches Nova Scotia, as well as merge with a cold front later today. The cold front is approaching from the west, and Gabrielle’s moisture is already being drawn into it…so heavy rainfall was affecting Nova Scotia this morning, and in the process of spreading to Prince Edward Island.
Tropical storm Ingrid is now active, having quickly bounced from a tropical depression to a stronger TS. Here’s a NASA satellite image of Tropical Storm Ingrid at 1555 UTC, less than one hour after it was named. This image shows that clouds associated with Ingrid covered the Bay of Campeche, located in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Strong thunderstorms circled the center of the storm, and the storm is expected to move slowly along the coast, while its center stays over water during the next couple of days…bringing large amounts of rainfall to eastern Mexico.
At 1500 UTC Tropical Storm Ingrid was centered 60 miles east-northeast of Veracruz, Mexico, and 175 miles southeast of Tuxpan, Mexico. TS Ingrid had maximum sustained winds near 45 mph, and strengthening is expected over the next two days…as Ingrid moves from a western track, to a north-northwestern track. Ingrid’s center is expected to move very close to the coast over the next couple of days. Tropical storm-force winds extend 35 miles from the center, making the compact storm just 70 miles in diameter.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for Coatzacoalcos to Cabo Rojo, and a tropical storm watch is in effect for north of Cabo Rojo to La Pesca.
Based on the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) expected track for Ingrid over the next couple of days, eastern Mexico will experience heavy rainfall. The NHC noted that Ingrid is expected to produce 10 to 15 inches of rain over a large part of eastern Mexico, with isolated amounts of 25 inches possible, especially in areas of mountainous terrain! These rains are likely to result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Tropical-storm force winds are expected within the warning area later today as well.
Finally, the area of disturbed weather remains active, now about 350 miles east of the leeward islands. Despite the fact that it will move westward towards the islands, it isn’t likely to become a tropical depression, at least over the next two days…according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). It may however bring some gusty breezes, and rainfall to that area as it gets closer. It’s being referred to as Invest 92L, and here’s a satellite picture of this area.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURES ARE LOWER THAN NORMAL IN THIS AREA... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
There are no active tropical cyclones