There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico
PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, with a tropical disturbance (circled in yellow) in the Caribbean Islands-far western Atlantic area
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) shows that former tropical cyclone Chantal has weakened to a remnant low pressure system. This area is shown above, circled in yellow, with a low 20% chance of regenerating into a tropical cyclone again over the next 48 hours. Former tropical storm Chantal ran out of steam, as it encountered strong upper level winds that tore it apart. The NHC issued its final advisory on Chantal July 10th at 2100 UTC (5pm EDT). Here’s a current satellite image showing what’s left of Chantal.
The NHC has noted that Chantal is no longer considered a TC, and that its remnants would bring precipitation totals between 3-6 inches to Hispaniola, Jamaica, central and eastern Cuba…as well as the southeastern Bahamas. At the moment, the remnant low, with its associated showers and thunderstorms stretched from Hispaniola northward to the southeastern and central Bahamas, and the adjacent Atlantic waters. Heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to continue over SE and central Bahamas through Friday.
The upper level winds are still strong over this area of disturbed weather, blowing in the 20-30 knot range (23-35 mph). The NHC has indicated that there are no signs of regeneration, and the latest forecast calls for winds to remain hostile for any significant development. There’s a chance that this area of heavy rains, and locally breezy conditions too, may move into the southeastern United States on Saturday and Sunday. Here’s a NOAA graphic map that shows the 7-day rainfall outlook for the southeast United States. Looking further ahead, there are no weather models that are predicting development of a new TC through the next week.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map
Atlantic Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones
A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF CHANTAL EXTENDS FROM HISPANIOLA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REGENERATION AT THIS TIME AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN HOSTILE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…20 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS…ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS…ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TODAY AND FRIDAY AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTHWESTWARD. THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION SCHEDULED FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic
Caribbean Sea
There are no active tropical cyclones
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
There are no active tropical cyclones
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.