Tropical cyclone 02L remains active over the Bay of Campeche…located approximately 115 miles east-northeast of Veracruz, Mexico (Sustained winds of 35 mph)
Tropical Depression 02L has moved offshore over the very southern part of the Gulf of Mexico…the Bay of Campeche. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is strongly suggesting that this depression may soon become tropical storm Barry. The Mexican Navy Meteorological station has measured tropical storm force winds in gusts…north of the depression earlier today. The NHC is sending an air force reconnaissance plane to check this area out soon. There won’t be much time before this tropical system reaches the eastern coast of Mexico, around Veracruz Thursday morning. However, there may be a short window for additional strengthening, we shall see. Here’s what the various computer weather models are doing with TD 2L.
The forward speed is expected to slow slightly, as it moves over the very warm waters of the far southern Gulf of Mexico. This will give the TD 02L a bit more time to be over water, before landfall. Here’s a visible satellite image of this system, with its clouds covering most of the Bay of Campeche. Here’s a looping satellite image showing a small area of thunderstorms associated with this system. The primary threat won’t be the strong winds, but rather the heavy flooding rains. This precipitation will be falling over parts of southern Mexico, especially over the state of Veracruz. This depression, or even if it becomes tropical storm Barry before reaching the eastern Mexican coast, will remain small…limiting the portion of Mexico that will be buffeted with gusty winds. The United States (southern Texas) won’t see any influence from this tropical cyclone, as its too far south in latitude.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
There are no active tropical cyclones
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
Gulf of Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 02L
ELSEWHERE, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.