Tropical Cyclone Activity Report - Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

By: PDC
October 24, 2011

Hurricane Rina is active in the Caribbean Sea, located approximately 190 miles southwest of Grand Cayman. Maximum sustained winds are 75 mph, with gusts to 92 mph. Rina is forecast to strengthen.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea, and the Atlantic Ocean with TRMM 3-hour precipitation accumulations. Hurricane Rina is active in the Caribbean Sea, shown here with the current and forecast track, and 3- and 5-day error cones.

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 PM EDT Monday October 24 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM RINA [NOW HURRICANE – SEE UPDATE BELOW]…LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH [ANOTHER] BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS…HOWEVER…ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…10 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT… LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS…ARUBA…BONAIRE…AND CURACAO THROUGH TONIGHT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM RINA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2011

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT RINA
HAS STRENGTHENED. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY TO
UPGRADE RINA TO A HURRICANE AND TO UPDATE THE INTENSITY FORECAST.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map – Showing Hurricane Rina, and the area of disturbed weather discussed above.