There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico
PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing the area under investigation in the Gulf of Mexico between Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico...wtih 3 hour precipitation accumulations
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT Monday October 17 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT IS CURRENTLY BEING INVESTIGATED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A SMALL CIRCULATION NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…WELL REMOVED FROM THE MAIN AREA OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE DISTURBED WEATHER HAS BECOME LESSORGANIZED DURING THE DAY…AND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM NOW HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE…40 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN CUBA…THE FLORIDA KEYS…AND SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map – Showing the area under investigation above
Atlantic Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones
NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic
Caribbean Sea
There are no active tropical cyclones
NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
There are no active tropical cyclones