By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 98W…which is located approximately 415 NM south-southeast of Puerto Princesa, Philippines.
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts strong deep convection to the northern periphery of a very broad low level circulation.
Environmental analysis is favorable for development with low vertical wind shear (5-10 knots), very warm sea surface temperatures, and fair equatorward outflow.
Global models indicate invest 98W will develop to warning criteria as it tracks northwest toward Vietnam in the South China Sea over the next 72-96 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 25 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.