By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 98W…which is located approximately 576 NM west of Puerto Princesa, Philippines.
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts deep convection in the northeastern periphery of a broad low level circulation.
Environmental analysis reveals favorable conditions for development defined by, robust outflow aloft, low (10-15 knot) vertical winds hear and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in good agreement that invest 98W will generally track northwestward and make landfall over Vietnam within the next 24-48 hours before reemerging over the South China Sea between 60-72 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10 to 15 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.