By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93W…which is located approximately 187 NM southwest of Palau.
Northwest Pacific Ocean:
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery shows disorganized, persisting
convection with a poorly organized low level circulation center.
Environmental analysis shows that the invest is in a favorable area for development defined by radial outflow, low (5-10 knot) vertical wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global model guidance is in agreement that the invest will track generally northwest over the next 48-72 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.