Invest 94S
Thursday, November 17, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no active Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing

 

Northeast Pacific Ocean:

There are no tropical cyclones nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific:

There are no tropical cyclones nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, North and South Indian Oceans, and Arabian Sea:

South Indian Ocean

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 94S which is located approximately 32 NM southwest of Christmas Island.

Animated enhanced infrared imagery and multispectral satellite imagery depict a partially exposed low level circulation (llc) with deep convection displaced to the south of the llc.

94S has missed its chance to develop and is now stuck beneath persistent, high (30-40 knot) northeasterly vertical wind shear.

94S still has warm sea surface temperatures and strong vorticity signatures in its favor, but that may
not be enough to support further development.

Global models agree the system will continue tracking east-southeast of Java where it will remain quasi-stationary for the next few days and eventually dissipate.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 27 to 33 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours has been downgraded to low.