Invest 94S
Tuesday, November 22, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no active Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing

 

Northeast Pacific Ocean:

There are no tropical cyclones nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific:

There are no tropical cyclones nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, North and South Indian Oceans, and Arabian Sea:

South Indian Ocean

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 94S which is located approximately 620 NM north of Learmonth, Australia

Animated satellite imagery depicts flaring convection above a broad low level circulation (llc).

Environmental analysis indicates marginally favorable conditions for development, with modest poleward outflow, moderate (15-20 knot) vertical wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in good agreement that invest 94S will track east-southeastward with negligible intensification over the next 24-48 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20 to 25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

North Indian Ocean