Tropical Cyclone 08W
Thursday, August 4, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

Tropical Cyclone 08W is located approximately 38 NM north of Hong Kong – Final Warning

 

>>> Offshore of Southern Mexico:

A broad low pressure area located offshore of the coasts of Guatemala and southern Mexico is producing widespread, but disorganized, shower activity.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days.

The system is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the weekend and into early next week, remaining well offshore of
the coasts of southern and southwestern Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

>>> Well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands:

Well Southeast of the Main Hawaiian Islands:

Another area of low pressure is forecast to form over the far western portion of the eastern Pacific basin by this weekend.

Some gradual development of this system is forecast, and a tropical
depression could form early next week while it moves westward toward
and into the central Pacific basin.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

 

Central Pacific:

Well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands:

An area of low pressure could form over the far western portion of the eastern Pacific basin later this week.

Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves westward toward and into the central Pacific basin early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

 

Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, Indian Ocean, Arabian Sea:

Tropical Cyclone 08W – Final Warning

According to the JTWC…Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depicts a consolidating low-level circulation with improved convective banding over the southern semicircle over warm sea surface temperatures and flaring convection overland.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery and a composite radar loop indicate the system has significantly eroded after it made landfall and dragged further inland into China.

The initial position and intensity are assessed with high confidence based on the radar loop and nearby surface observations. TD 08W has weakened to below JTWC warning criteria.