By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
Current Tropical Cyclones:
There are no tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, North and South Indian Oceans, and Arabian Sea:
South Indian Ocean
>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Remnants of TC 06S…which is located approximately 294 NM east of Broome, Australia
Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery depicts low-level cloud lines wrapping tightly into a partially exposed, well-defined low-level circulation center with persistent deep convective banding over the western periphery.
Environmental conditions are unfavorable at the moment due to moderate to high (20 to 30 knot) easterly vertical wind shear and land interaction. However, good upper-level poleward outflow should aid in significant intensification when the system tracks closer to the coastline and possibly over water. Coastal sea surface temperatures are amply warm.
Global models agree on a slow westward track towards Broome with steady intensification over the next 2-3 days, and the potential for a brief over-water track after about 48 hours.
The potential for transition into a significant tropical cyclone with the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.