By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
Current Tropical Cyclones:
Tropical Cyclone 06B (Mandous)…is located approximately 193 NM south-southeast of Chennai, India
Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, North and South Indian Oceans, and Arabian Sea:
North Indian Ocean
Tropical Cyclone 06B (Mandous)
According to JTWC Warning number 5, sustained winds were 55 knots, with gusts to 70 knots.
NW Pacific Ocean
>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 92W…which is located approximately 60 NM southwest of Palau
Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depict a broad low level circulation partially obscured by deep convection in the northwestern periphery.
Upper level analysis reveals improving conditions for development with moderate equatorward outflow and low to moderate (10-20 knot) vertical wind shear. Sea surface temperatures remain warm.
Global models are in good agreement that 92W will gradually intensify as it tracks west-northwestward towards Legazpi, Philippines over the next 24-48 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.
The potential for the development is upgraded to medium. low.