Invest 98S
Saturday, December 17, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

 

Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, North and South Indian Oceans, and Arabian Sea:

South Indian Ocean

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 98S…which is located approximately 220 NM west of Cocos Islands, Australia

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery and a microwave image reveal a consolidating area of deep convection wrapping around a partially exposed low-level circulation center…with 20 to 25 knots.

Environmental analysis indicates marginally favorable conditions for development with moderate (15-20 knot) vertical wind shear and high sea surface temperatures, with an upper-level point source enhancing radial
outflow aloft.

Global models are in good agreement that Invest 98S will remain quasi-stationary as it gradually develops over the next 24-48 hours..

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20 to 25 knots.

The potential for the development remains high