Invest 95L
Friday, October 28, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James


There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing


Eastern Caribbean:

Invest 95L

A broad area of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the Windward Islands west-northwestward for several hundred miles.

Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the disturbance moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through this weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

Western Atlantic:

Satellite data indicate that a well-defined low pressure area has formed about 150 miles southwest of Bermuda.

This system is currently producing a limited amount of shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to remain only marginally conducive, and any additional development should be slow
to occur over the next day or so.

By late Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become even less favorable, and the low is expected to begin interacting with an approaching frontal system. Therefore, development after that time is not anticipated.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent