Invest 95L
Saturday, October 29, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

 

Central Caribbean:

Invest 95L

A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central Caribbean Sea.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the disturbance. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through this weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

Western Atlantic:

A low pressure area located about 100 miles west-northwest of Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity to the north of the center as it continues to interact with a nearby frontal system.

Upper-level winds are forecast to increase over the system tonight, and the low is forecast to merge with the front by early Sunday. Therefore, the chances of subtropical development of this system appear to be decreasing.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent