Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Monday, March 10, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone 24S (Ivone) is located approximately 929 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia

Tropical Cyclone 25S (Jude) is located approximately 59 NM southwest of Nacala, Mozambique – Final Warning

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas: 

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 24S (Ivone)

According to the JTWC warning number 6, sustained winds were 45 knots with gusts to 55 knots

Animated enhanced infrared (eir) satellite imagery depicts an exposed, broad low-level circulation center (llcc), with a symmetric region of deep convection sheared over the southern semicircle.

Despite moderate to strong northwesterly vertical wind shear (vws), the system has maintained a robust poleward outflow channel with short-lived pulses of westward and northward outflow. Unfortunately, extensive dry air over the western and northern semicircles has continued to hinder significant development. An ascat-c image reveals an elongated center, with extensive gale-force winds (35-45 knots) over the southern semicircle.

Within the next 24 hours, TC 24S will turn southwestward then westward as it tracks along the building str to the south. After 72 hours, the system will recurve southwestward around the northwest periphery of the str. TC 24S is expected to weaken steadily through the forecast period as environmental conditions deteriorate.

Over the next 24 hours, the robust poleward channel into the subtropical jet will cease, with the stj weakening and shifting eastward. The system will also track under the leading edge of an upper-level trough, with increasing vws (30-35 knots) and a very dry environment. Consequently, the system is forecast to dissipate by 96 hours as it begins to recurve.

Tropical Cyclone 25S (Jude) – Final Warning

According to the JTWC warning number 4, sustained winds were 65 knots with gusts to 80 knots

TC 25S made landfall approximately 35 NM south of Nacala at 100000z and has tracked inland over the past six hours. Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery indicates slight weakening of the core convection, with warming cloud top temperatures. However, a microwave image depicts a near-complete eyewall surrounding a small microwave eye feature

The initial intensity is assessed conservatively at 65 knots based on the overall convective structure. TC 25S is forecast to recurve southwestward by 36 hours, with a sharp turn southeastward after 48 hours as the str shifts northeast of the system in response to an approaching upper-level trough.

Tropical cyclone 25S will rapidly weaken over land and should weaken below tropical storm strength by 36 hours. However, the system is forecast to reemerge over the Mozambique Channel by 72 hours, with gradual re-intensification to tropical storm strength.