Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, March 14, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone 25S (Jude) is located approximately 91 NM east-southeast of Europa Island

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas: 

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 25S (Jude)

According to the JTWC warning number 08, sustained winds were 55 knots with gusts to 70 knots

Tropical cyclone 25S continues to slowly consolidate as indicated in animated multi-spectral satellite imagery, which depicts convective banding wrapping tightly into a broad low-level circulation center (llcc). Although fragmented, deep convective banding has improved slightly and is wrapping into the western quadrant of the llcc despite moderate northwesterly vertical wind shear (vws). The improved convective structure is evident in a microwave image, which shows convective banding wrapping into a microwave eye feature.

Robust poleward outflow and warm sst values continue to support the recent intensification trend, offsetting the deleterious effects of the northwesterly vws. TC 25S
passed over Europa Island (61972) at about 132300z producing peak 10-minute sustained winds of 39 knots.

The system is currently tracking toward the southwest coast of Madagascar, with a track likely to pass just south of Toliara currently reporting sustained northeasterly winds at 12 knots.

TC 25S will track east-southeastward through the forecast period along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge (str), making landfall near 12 hours. TC 25S will peak at 55 knots or possibly slightly higher just prior to landfall, then will weaken rapidly as it tracks across southern Madagascar. Strong subtropical westerlies are expected to shift over Madagascar by 12 hours, with increasing (35-45 knots) vws leading to a rapidly degrading environment.