Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, February 16, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone 14S (Taliah) is located approximately 1018 NM southeast of Port Mathurin

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas: 

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 14S (Taliah)

According to the JTWC warning number 32, sustained winds were 45 knots with gusts to 55 knots

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depicts tropical cyclone 14S (Taliah) with an exposed low-level circulation center and convection confined to the southern semicircle. Another partial image reveals that the winds within the western periphery have weakened over the past 12 hours. 35 knot winds are now depicted within the western and southern peripheries.

Environmental analysis indicates that 14S is in a marginal environment characterized by strong poleward outflow aloft, high (30-35 knot) vertical wind shear, and borderline sea surface temperatures.

Tropical cyclone 14S is forecast to continue tracking southwestward, in response to the combined steering influence of ridging to the east and south through 48 hours. Near 48 hours, the steering pattern will weaken, causing the track speed of 14S to significantly slow. Ridging to the south will then briefly build back in around 72 hours, causing the system to begin tracking westward throughout the remainder of the forecast period.

Regarding intensity, 14S is forecast to maintain intensity through 48 hours with gale-force winds likely confined to the southern periphery. Strong poleward outflow will fight off the high shear and cooling sea surface temperatures. However, by 72 hours, sea surface temperatures will drop and the poleward outflow channel will weaken, causing the system to dissipate near 96 hours.