Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, August 2, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 04L…is located about 230 miles south-southeast of Key West, Florida…according to the NHC Advisory number 3A

 Potential Tropical Cyclone 04L

TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA…EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT

The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is forecast today, followed by a slower motion toward the north and then the northeast on Sunday and Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move across Cuba this morning, and then move generally northward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico later today and Sunday, potentially reaching the Florida Gulf coast late Sunday or Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today and
continue strengthening over the eastern Gulf of Mexico through the
weekend.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WINDS: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
late Saturday and Saturday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in the Florida Keys and the southern Florida peninsula by Saturday or Saturday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area along the Florida west coast Saturday night or Sunday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Bonita Beach, FL to Suwannee River, FL…2-4 ft
Tampa Bay…2-4 ft
Charlotte Harbor…2-4 ft
Card Sound Bridge, FL to Bonita Beach, FL…1-3 ft
Dry Tortugas…1-2 ft

RAINFALL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Four is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with maximum rainfall totals up to 12 inches, across portions of Florida and near the Southeast U.S. coast this weekend through Wednesday morning. This rainfall could result in areas of flash and urban flooding, with isolated river flooding possible.

For Cuba, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, with localized higher amounts, will be possible today into Saturday. This may result in isolated to scattered areas of flooding.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible across the Florida Keys and the western Florida Peninsula tonight through Sunday morning.