Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, June 28, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone Beryl…according to the NHC advisory number 2 is located about 1110 miles east-southeast of Barbados

DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM BERYL…EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS

Beryl is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A relatively quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move across the Windward Islands late Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Steady strengthening is forecast, and Beryl is expected to become a hurricane in a couple of days.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands. This rainfall may produce localized flooding in vulnerable areas.

SURF: Swells generated by the system are expected to reach the Windward and southern Leeward Islands by late Sunday.

Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:

Invest 94L

>>>  A broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this low is not anticipated before it moves inland over the Yucatan Peninsula on Saturday.

The system is then forecast to move west-northwestward, emerging over
the Bay of Campeche Saturday night or early Sunday, where conditions
appear generally conducive for further development. A tropical depression could form before the system moves inland again early next week over Mexico.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will affect portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

>>>  A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent