Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Saturday, June 29, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone Beryl…according to the NHC advisory number 6A is located about 530 miles east-southeast of Barbados

BERYL GETTING STRONGER…EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE

Beryl is moving quickly toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h). A continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands late Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast over the next day or so, and Beryl is expected to become a dangerous major hurricane before it reaches the Windward Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area by Sunday night or Monday morning, with tropical storm conditions possible on Sunday.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow in the Hurricane Watch area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands. This rainfall may produce localized flooding in vulnerable areas.

SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to reach the Windward and southern Leeward Islands by late Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:

Invest 94L

>>>  A broad area of low pressure is over the Bay of Campeche with disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for further development, and a short-lived tropical depression could form before the system moves inland over Mexico on Monday. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will continue affect portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

>>>  An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent