Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, June 30, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone Beryl…according to the NHC advisory number 9A is located about 200 miles southeast of Barbados

Tropical Cyclone 03L…according to the NHC advisory number 1A is located about 145 miles southeast of Tuxpan, Mexico

Tropical Cyclone Beryl

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 BERYL APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS…LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED THERE BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING

Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). A continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands Monday morning and across the southeastern and central Caribbean Sea late Monday through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Beryl is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength are likely during the next day or so, and Beryl is expected to remain an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane through landfall in the Windward Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area beginning early Monday morning. Potentially catastrophic wind damage is expected where the eyewall of Beryl moves through portions of the Windward Islands, with the highest risk of the core in St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Grenada.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be
even greater.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning
area starting late tonight, making outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area starting late tonight.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow in the Hurricane Watch area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands. This rainfall may produce localized flooding in vulnerable areas.

STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels
by as much as 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow near where the eye makes landfall in the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of
3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands through Monday. Localized maxima of 10 inches is possible, especially in the Grenadines. This rainfall may cause flash flooding in vulnerable areas.

SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl are expected across Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next couple of days. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Tropical Cyclone 03L

DEPRESSION MOVING TOWARD THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO…POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO

The depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion should continue until it dissipates over eastern Mexico late Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected, and the cyclone is forecast to become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast later tonight. The system is expected to weaken and dissipate after it moves inland over eastern Mexico.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area later tonight.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow in the Hurricane Watch area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico into Monday, with localized maximum totals of 15 inches possible. This rainfall will result in areas of flooding, with mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

Invest 96L

>>>  Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent