Tropical Cyclone Beryl – Atlantic
Friday, July 5, 2024

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, July 5, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico


Tropical Cyclone Berylaccording to the NHC advisory number 30A is located about 580 miles southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas


Tropical Cyclone Beryl


Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through early Saturday. A turn to the northwest is expected later on Saturday, with the center of Beryl expected to approach the Texas coast by late Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected through early Saturday. Steady strengthening seems likely later in the weekend, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane before it reaches the coast.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. An observations in Isla Perez has recently reported a sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) with a gust of 57 mph
(92 km/h).


WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area along the Gulf coast of northeastern Mexico and Texas by early Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning Sunday night.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Baffin Bay, TX to San Luis Pass, TX…3-5 ft
Corpus Christi Bay…3-5 ft
Matagorda Bay…3-5 ft
Mouth of the Rio Grande, TX to Baffin Bay, TX…2-4 ft
San Luis Pass, TX to High Island, TX…2-4 ft
Galveston Bay…2-4 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds along the west and north coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula in the tropical storm warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas beginning late Sunday through midweek. This rainfall is likely to produce areas of flash and urban flooding.

Through early Saturday morning, Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches, with localized amounts of 10 inches, across the Yucatan Peninsula, with scattered instances of flash flooding anticipated.

SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl are currently impacting portions of the coast the Yucatan Peninsula. The swells are expected to reach eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. by early Saturday. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.