Tropical Cyclone 06L (Earl) / Invest 95L
Friday, September 9, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 06L (Earl) is located about 610 miles south-southwest of Cape Race, New Foundland

Tropical Cyclone 06 (Earl)

Earl is moving toward the northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through tomorrow. Earl is then forecast to slow down considerably Saturday night through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slight fluctuations in intensity are possible overnight. Earl is expected to complete its transition to a powerful hurricane-force extratropical low on Saturday and then steadily weaken through early Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km).

Earl is accelerating toward the northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is anticipated tonight. Earl is then forecast to slow down considerably Saturday night through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight fluctuations in intensity are possible this evening.

Earl is expected to complete its transition to a powerful hurricane-force extratropical low on Saturday and then steadily weaken through early Monday. Earl is a large hurricane.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Gusty winds are expected across the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland over the weekend after Earl becomes a post-tropical low.

SURF: Swells generated by Earl are affecting Bermuda and portionsof the U.S. East Coast and are expected to reach Nova Scotia and Newfoundland tonight and on Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend.

>>> Near the coast of Africa:

Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of Africa by early next week.

Some gradual development of the wave will be possible after it moves over water and heads generally westward over the far eastern Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent