By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Post-Tropical Cyclone 06L (Earl) is located about 215 miles south of Cape Race, New Foundland
Post-Tropical Cyclone 06 (Earl)
EARL BECOMES A HURRICANE-FORCE EXTRATROPICAL LOW…EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the northeast at a slow forward speed is expected tonight. Earl is expected to be southeast of Newfoundland Sunday through Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected, and Earl’s winds are likely to fall below hurricane force tonight or early Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 485 miles (780 km). A Canadian automated station near Cape Race recently reported a wind gust of 68 mph (109 km/h).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Strong winds are expected across the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland this afternoon through Sunday.
SURF: Swells generated by Earl will affect Bermuda, portions of the U.S. East Coast, and Nova Scotia and Newfoundland in Canada during the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday. Gradual development of the wave will be possible during the early to middle part of next week while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent