By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands has changed little in organization since earlier today.
However, environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days before the system reaches the Windward Islands Tuesday night or while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea Wednesday through Friday.
Interests in the Windward Islands and along the northeastern coast of Venezuela should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions of these areas on Monday.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over the Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela Tuesday night and Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent
>>> Northern Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the north-central and northeastern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure.
Development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph toward the northwestern Gulf of Mexico and approaches the coasts of southern Texas and northeastern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent