By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
Off the coast of southwest Mexico:
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)…showers and thunderstorms are becoming increasingly organized in association with a broad low pressure area located a few hundred miles south of the southwest coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Tuesday or Wednesday while the system moves slowly northwestward off the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent
Off the coast of Central America:
An area of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles southwest of the coast of Nicaragua during the next day or two.
Gradual development of this system is possible through late week while the low moves slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
>>> There are no active tropical cyclones, nor any areas of disturbed weather being investigated in the north Central Pacific by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days in the Central Pacific Ocean.
>>> There are no active tropical cyclones, nor any areas of disturbed weather being investigated in the western Pacific or the Indian Ocean by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)