By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a second tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 90P…which is located approximately 243 NM east of Weipa, Australia
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts a broad low level circulation (llc) with flaring convection in the northeastern periphery. In addition, formative banding is apparent and wrapping into the llc.
Environmental analysis indicates marginal conditions for development, with radial outflow aloft, moderate (15-20 knot) vertical wind shear, and very warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models indicate 90P will deepen as it loiters near its current location but will remain below warning criteria.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10 to 15 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains Low.