By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 97S…which is located approximately 478 NM west-southwest of the Cocos Islands
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts a broad, weakly-organized low-level circulation with flaring deep convection. A color composite microwave image shows deep convective banding wrapping around the periphery of an elongated low-level circulation center.
Environmental conditions are marginally favorable with diffluent outflow offset by high (25 to 35 knot) vertical wind shear and dry air entrainment. Sea surface temperatures are conducive.
Global models are in agreement about the intensification and general southward track of this large system over the next 24-48 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25 to 30 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high.