By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 94S…which is located approximately 320 NM northwest of Cocos Islands, Australia
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery shows fragmented convective banding forming north and southeast of a broad llc.
Upper-air analysis shows that invest 94S is under high (30-40 knot) vertical wind shear, with slight equatorward outflow offset by favorably warm sea surface temperatures.
Global numerical models agree that invest 94s will gradually develop as the system tracks west-southwestward but is not expected to reach tropical storm strength until beyond 72-96 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.