By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92S…which is located approximately 84 NM southwest of Cocos Islands, Australia
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery shows reveals convective banding wrapping into a well-defined low level circulation center, while animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depicts twin convective towers spiraling into the low level vortex.
The environment is favorable for tropical cyclone development with low (05-10 knot) vertical wind shear, burgeoning poleward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in agreement that invest 90S will track westward as it consolidates and continues to intensify.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25 to 30 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is high.