Southwest Pacific Ocean – Invest 26P
Saturday, May 21, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

There’s the remnants of a tropical cyclone (Gina) being referred to as Invest 94P…which is located approximately 234 NM southeast of Port Vila, Vanuatu

The system is currently classified as a subtropical storm, generally characterized as having both tropical and mid-latitude cyclone features.

According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts a weak frontal system with convection that has been sheared to the southeast of a partially exposed low level circulation (llc), typical of a subtropical system.

Environmental analysis reveals unfavorable conditions for tropical transition defined by a deep layer of dry air being advected over the circulation, strong westerlies aloft, high (30 knot) vertical wind shear, and cool sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in agreement that the remnants of TC 26P will track southeastward with a broad and asymmetric wind field.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 30 to 35 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.