Tropical Cyclones – Pacific Ocean
Saturday, November 27, 2021

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

There are no active tropical cyclones

 

North Eastern Pacific / North Central Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/07/1800x1080.jpg

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days

North Western Pacific

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/jma/wpac/ir4-l.gif

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/93W_tracks_latest.png

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93W…located approximately 11 NM east-southeast of Chuuk.

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery show disorganized, flaring convection and support the assessment of 93W as a tropical wave with no discrete low level circulation center. Another image reveals 15-20 knot easterlies offset to the north of the area. Additionally, surface observations from Chuuk indicate northerly winds at 5-10 knots.

Environmental analysis indicates a marginal environment for development with moderate to high (20-25 knot) wind shear offset by warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in agreement that 93W will track generally northwestward over the next 48 hours with slow development.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

North Indian Ocean

No tropical cyclones or areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the JTWC

South Indian Ocean

No tropical cyclones or areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the JTWC

Arabian Sea

No tropical cyclones or areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the JTWC