Tropical Cyclones – Pacific Ocean
Sunday, November 14, 2021

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

There are no active tropical cyclones

 

North Eastern Pacific / North Central Pacific

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Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days

 

North Western Pacific

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No tropical cyclones or areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the JTWC

 

North Indian Ocean

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There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92B, which is located approximately 315 NM north-northwest of Phuket, Thailand

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts sporadic convection around a broad circulation.

Environmental analysis indicates favorable conditions for development with good easterly outflow, low (5-10 knot) wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models generally agree that 92B will track toward the Andaman Islands over the next day, but disagree regarding intensification. NAVGEM shows increasing intensity over the next several days, although GFS and ECMWF maintain 92B below warning criteria.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

 

South Indian Ocean

No tropical cyclones or areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the JTWC