Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Wednesday, January 8, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas:

South Indian Ocean

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 94S, which is located approximately 684 NM east-northeast of Mauritius.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery and a microwave image as well a second microwave image depict a consolidating llcc with formative banding and associated deep convection consistently building over the center of the system.

Upper level analysis reveals conducive conditions for development of 94S with low vertical wind shear (10-15 knots), and warm sea surface temperatures. Currently, 94S also has weak radial outflow and a moderate poleward outflow channel aloft to assist in development.

Global ensemble and deterministic models are in agreement that 94S will continue to consolidate and track west over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 28 to 33 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high.

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 97S, which is located approximately 397 NM east-southeast of Cocos Islands.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depicts a partial exposed llcc that is becoming more organized with persistent convection to the south.

Environmental analysis reveals favorable conditions for development with low vertical wind shear (10-15 knots), warm sea surface temperatures, and good outflow poleward aloft.

Global deterministic models show an asymmetrical wind field with little development, however the global ensembles are more aggressive with development over the next 24-48 hrs

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20 to 25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.