Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Tuesday, January 7, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas:

South Indian Ocean

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 94S, which is located approximately 479 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery and a microwave image as well a second microwave image depict a consolidating llcc with formative banding and associated deep convection consistently building over the center of the system.

Upper level analysis reveals conducive conditions for development of 94S with low vertical wind shear (10-15 knots), and warm sea surface temperatures. Currently, 94S also has weak radial outflow and a moderate poleward outflow channel aloft to assist in development.

Global ensemble and deterministic models are in agreement that 94S will continue to consolidate and track west over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 28 to 33 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.

Southwest Pacific Ocean

>>> There’s a second area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 96P, which is located approximately 281 NM south-southwest of Pago Pago.

Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery (eir) depicts a slowly consolidating low level circulation center (llcc) with persistent deep convective banding wrapping around the eastern periphery. The asymmetric deep convection lying north of the low-level circulation is highlighted in a microwave image.

Environmental analysis indicates that Invest 96P is in an overall marginally favorable environment for further development due to warm sea surface temperatures, moderate (15-20 knot) vertical wind shear, and strong poleward and equatorward outflow aloft.

Global models are in good agreement that Invest 96P will quickly consolidate and track southeastward over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18 to 23 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium.