Invest 94S / Invest 92S – Pacific
Sunday, January 5, 2025

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, January 5, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing

 

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

 

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

 

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas:

South Indian Ocean

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 94S, which is located approximately 680 NM west-southwest of Cocos Island.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depicts a very broad, and elongated llcc with scattered convection and weakly defined banding to the northeast of the system.

Environmental conditions are moderately favorable with low vertical wind shear (5-
10 knot), warm sea surface temperatures offset by weak outflow aloft.

Global deterministic and ensemble models are in agreement that the area of convection (94sS) will continue to consolidate over the next 24 hours as the system tracks west.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.

 

>>> There’s a second area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 92S, which is located approximately 251 NM west of Diego Garcia.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depict a weakly defined llcc with disorganized flaring convection.

Environmental conditions are moderately favorable for 92S with warm sea surface temperatures and moderate poleward outflow aloft. However, the system will begin to move into an area of low to moderate vertical wind shear (15-20 knots) over the next 24 hours.

While currently not as prominent on deterministic models, ensemble models are in good agreement on an east-northeastward track over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20 to 25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.